State Bushfire Risk Assessment
Overview
The State Bushfire Risk Assessment aims to identify areas of high bushfire risk to enable effective prevention, preparedness, response and recovery from bushfire. It utilises both the identified and specifically developed risk assessment frameworks, along with guidance on climate and systemic disaster risks.
Findings and recommendations
Bushfire risks are systemic and compounding. Early investment in prevention, preparedness and adaptive systems is demonstrably more cost‑effective than repeated recovery. Unified planning, innovative funding, and collaboration to build long-term bushfire resilience are needed for integrated bushfire risk management.
Exploratory scenarios
Exploratory scenarios are a form of scenario planning used to imagine multiple plausible future states of the world rather than predicting a single outcome. They emerged from the practice of strategic foresight, which encourages looking beyond predictable patterns and considering diverse external drivers of change. Essentially, exploratory scenario planning empowers communities and organisations to plan for an uncertain future by exploring multiple possibilities of what might happen.
Scenario 1 - Adelaide Mount Lofty Ranges
Explore the impacts of how a catastrophic bushfire could impact residents across the Adelaide Mount Lofty Ranges Fire District and Fleurieu.
Scenario 2 - Northern Complex
This analysis outlines the Northern Complex bushfire scenario into several consequence domains, spotlighting exposures, critical vulnerabilities, and priority actions across a 1.34 million ha footprint of the State.
Scenario 3 - Southern Complex
This analysis outlines the Southern Complex bushfire scenario into several consequence domains, spotlighting exposures, critical vulnerabilities, and priority actions in a scenario that could disrupt schools, hospitals, emergency operations, extensive natural values, and essential infrastructure.